| |
|---|---|
 (450Kb)
|
| Tsuneyuki Morita | |
| Director of Social and Environmental System Division | |
| National Institute for Environmental Studies | |
| 16-2 Onogawa, Tsukuba, Ibaraki 305-0053, Japan | |
| Tel: +81-298-50-2541 Fax: +81-298-50-2524 | |
| E-mail: t-morita@nies.go.jp |
95,256,000 Yen
(FY 1999; 31,648 Yen)
The AIM simulation results have been compared with other integrated assessment models in the three international comparison projects: the IPCC new scenario project, the Stanford EMF project, and OECD economic modeling project. These comparisons show that future mitigation policies would be significantly dependent on future development patterns, and that the cost to implement Kyoto Protocol would be in a certain range which could be reduced by emission trading. In order to promote these comparisons, a database has been developed for providing more than 500 emission scenarios and their assumptions. Another important study is to refine and apply a computer model for assessing the climatic impacts on agriculture and water supply/demand in China, jointly promoted with IIASA. Furthermore training workshops were held in China and India to transfer the AIM model and to apply it for their policy making processes.
Global warming emission scenario, International comparison, agricultural model, technology evaluation