研究成果報告書 E97H0323.HTM

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[H-3.2.3 Development of the land use/change dataset of Thailand]


[Contact Person]

Veerapong Saenjan
Director
Academic Service Center, Khon Kaen University of Thailand
Khon Kaen 40002, Thailand
Tel/Fax:+66-43-241-216
E-mail:veesae@kku1.kku.ac.th


[Total Budget for FY1996-FY1997]

3,980,000 Yen (FY1997;1,990,000 Yen)


[Abstract]

The case study alms to illustrate the applications of GSIM simulation model in the projection of land use changing pattern from a current year up to the year 2050. Four regions of Thailand are utilized to illustrate the cases. The applications concern on two land use scenarios. The reference scenario is the ongoing land use policy represented entirely by the past performance of land use interaction. The alternative scenario represents the otherwise assumed policy options. The latter is formulated to illustrate some particular land categories that largely represent the regional land use specialty. The application process concerns on the formation of changing talc and changing pattern of land use in the future. The socioeconomic driving forces gear the projections of those two policy scenarios. The simulation results show the differences of changing pattern by scenarios.


[Key Words]

land use/cover change, scenario, modeling, projection