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3,980,000 Yen (FY1997;1,990,000 Yen)
The case study alms to illustrate the applications of GSIM simulation model in the projection of land use changing pattern from a current year up to the year 2050. Four regions of Thailand are utilized to illustrate the cases. The applications concern on two land use scenarios. The reference scenario is the ongoing land use policy represented entirely by the past performance of land use interaction. The alternative scenario represents the otherwise assumed policy options. The latter is formulated to illustrate some particular land categories that largely represent the regional land use specialty. The application process concerns on the formation of changing talc and changing pattern of land use in the future. The socioeconomic driving forces gear the projections of those two policy scenarios. The simulation results show the differences of changing pattern by scenarios.
land use/cover change, scenario, modeling, projection