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[H-3.2.2 Development of the land use/change data set of Indonesia]

[Contact Person]

R. Sunsun Saefulhakim
Lecturer
Bogor Agricultural University of Indonesia
JL Raya Pajajaran No.1 Bogor
Tel/Fax:+62-251-312-642
E-mail:sunsun@indo.net.id

[Total Budget for FY1995-1997]

4,773,000 Yen (FY1997;1,000,000 Yen)

[Abstract]

In this research, the author has developed a database on land use/cover change of Indonesia and introduced a simple model simulating dynamic interrelationship between the change of land uses and socioeconomic system of human life. The model named "Constant Elasticity Dynamic Equilibrium Model of Land Use (CEDEq-LU Model)" is derived from the very basic relationship among land area, land productivity, production, and equilibrium condition of supply and demand for products. By using the last three decades of time-series data of Indonesia, the model significantly explains the interrelationship system dynamics with averaged coefficient of determination of about 99.6%.

[Key Words]

constant elasticity dynamic equilibrium model, land use change, land policy simulation, sustainable development.